Liverpool’s Odds-Defying Win Over Barcelona By The Numbers
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Liverpool’s 4-0 victory over Barcelona in 2019 will go down as one of the greatest nights in European football history.
Two goals apiece from Divock Origi and Gini Wijnaldum fired the Reds into the Champions League final as they overhauled a 3-0 first-leg deficit.
And so unexpected was the result, many fans had written off Liverpool’s chances of claiming anything from the game.
Indeed, some online bookmakers were even pricing the Reds as high as 50/1 to progress as they tried to tempt punters into backing a long-odds bet.
| Outcome | Pre-Game Odds | Probability Defied |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to win on the night | 1/1 | 50% |
| Liverpool to win 4-0 | 50/1 | 2% |
| Divock Origi first scorer | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Liverpool to win the tie | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Liverpool score within 15 mins | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 13/5 | 27.8% |
And there will be some football bettors who woke up the following morning delighted with their decision to bet on the Reds at such a long price.
Sportsbooks such as Bet365 saw Liverpool’s odds on winning the Champions League crash from 20/1 (+2000) after the semi-final first leg to just 4/9 (-255) overnight.
The exact moment of Origi’s winning goal appears to have been picked up on MoPlay’s live odds tracker, with a price of 18/1 (+1800) collapsing to 4/9 (-255) as the game neared its conclusion.
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